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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13294406080120140160180200120101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +6
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
70Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
120Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.3
51.351.0
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 1.2
59.20.7
52.353.0
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Second
43.00.3
34.434.1
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
red by 17.2
9491
#17
25.80.7
21.422.2
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
Third
33.30.3
33.232.8
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
red by 9.7
9790
#15
23.60.7
16.617.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed