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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7537020601001201407680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points48
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
61Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
76Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#19
30.80.6
23.524.0
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
blue by 1.6
5188
#18
32.42.6
17.920.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
Second
7657
#12
29.90.6
27.428.0
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
red by 9.2
9554
#11
20.72.6
11.714.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Third
6498
#16
23.50.6
16.617.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
red by 5.9
3559
#10
17.62.6
11.013.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed