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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246605010015020010892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
71Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
108Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.3
60.961.2
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 31.7
1720
#21
33.81.9
25.627.4
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Second
2867
#14
30.00.3
21.021.2
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
red by 6.1
2197
#22
23.91.9
19.120.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Third
27.00.3
22.122.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
red by 4.0
23.11.9
19.521.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned