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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1214701001502008734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
53Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points6
87Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.91.0
53.852.8
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 56.9
4008
#20
22.01.5
17.215.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Second
33.31.0
32.831.8
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
red by 15.1
8430
#24
18.21.5
20.418.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Third
8116
#23
20.11.0
15.714.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
red by 8.7
11.41.5
12.310.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed