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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639405015086116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
70Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
86Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#19
30.80.9
24.025.0
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
blue by 22.4
53.21.8
44.245.9
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
9491
#17
25.80.9
22.223.1
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
blue by 4.2
7657
#12
29.91.8
28.029.7
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Third
8564
#26
14.30.9
17.017.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 6.4
9554
#11
20.71.8
14.316.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned