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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83106406012014016018087122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+43
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#20
36Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
64Total teleop86
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#7
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
87Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
46.90.4
42.042.4
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
blue by 12.4
59.21.8
53.455.2
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Second
2197
#22
23.90.4
23.824.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 8.5
5188
#18
32.41.8
24.125.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
Third
8116
#23
20.10.4
14.815.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
red by 5.8
8564
#26
14.31.8
17.919.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed