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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717340608010012011656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+48Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points34
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
18Processor points0
16Net points4
34Algae points4
71Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points0
116Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.02.4
34.536.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
red by 13.0
2867
#14
30.00.9
23.322.4
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
Second
4008
#20
22.02.4
15.317.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
blue by 1.4
6498
#16
23.50.9
23.322.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Third
9554
#11
20.72.4
18.320.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 2.3
23.10.9
23.122.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed