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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105672040801201401601808848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
44Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
88Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.3
45.845.5
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
red by 23.2
7657
#12
29.91.4
28.527.1
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Second
43.00.3
36.936.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
red by 19.9
23.11.4
22.220.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
11.40.3
10.310.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 10.6
4008
#20
22.01.4
17.716.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed