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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726840506080901001107882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
44Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
78Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#18
32.41.1
28.829.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
red by 2.4
7657
#12
29.90.3
27.127.4
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Second
2197
#22
23.91.1
23.224.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 1.9
9491
#17
25.80.3
22.622.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
Third
11.41.1
10.011.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 6.2
3559
#10
17.60.3
16.116.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed