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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106405010015020012475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
87Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
9L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
124Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.21.8
55.256.9
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
red by 28.4
1018
#19
30.80.5
31.431.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Second
6498
#16
23.51.8
22.424.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
red by 2.7
9554
#11
20.70.5
20.721.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Third
8430
#24
18.21.8
19.721.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 1.9
8116
#23
20.10.5
15.315.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed