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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747640506080901001109480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
12Foul points0
94Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.9
28.729.6
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
blue by 0.5
1720
#21
33.80.6
28.328.9
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Second
27.00.9
22.423.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 3.0
2867
#14
30.00.6
22.423.1
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
Third
9790
#15
23.60.9
17.918.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 9.3
8564
#26
14.30.6
19.720.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed