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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10959501001508572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+27Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
60Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
85Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.8
56.055.2
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 36.9
9790
#15
23.60.6
18.719.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Second
9554
#11
20.70.8
21.220.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 2.7
6498
#16
23.50.6
24.124.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Third
8564
#26
14.30.8
20.319.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 8.7
23.10.6
20.821.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned