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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479350200250119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
67Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points6
119Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.51.1
62.561.4
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 22.5
43.01.6
36.638.1
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Second
234
#7
46.91.1
45.444.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
red by 16.1
1018
#19
30.81.6
31.933.5
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Third
8430
#24
18.21.1
21.420.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 8.8
27.01.6
23.224.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned