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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93632040801201401608988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
49Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
89Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.20.3
56.957.3
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
red by 25.4
1720
#21
33.81.5
31.933.4
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Second
3559
#10
17.60.3
16.316.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 4.4
4008
#20
22.01.5
18.119.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Third
11.40.3
11.111.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 8.7
8116
#23
20.11.5
15.817.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned