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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113350150200102152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +54
9Coral scored#19
31Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
45Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
4Foul points0
102Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.0
48.548.5
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
blue by 25.7
868
#1
78.92.2
66.969.0
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
Second
5188
#18
32.40.0
29.929.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
blue by 0.9
33.32.2
31.333.5
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
Third
9790
#15
23.60.0
19.319.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 0.5
23.12.2
21.423.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned