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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1468250100200148103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
81Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
148Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.6
55.255.8
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 17.4
43.01.1
38.139.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Second
234
#7
46.90.6
44.344.9
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
red by 16.8
2867
#14
30.01.1
24.825.9
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
Third
1018
#19
30.80.6
33.534.1
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
red by 6.9
2197
#22
23.91.1
24.325.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned