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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119109020030040084107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
53Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#7
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
84Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.51.8
61.459.6
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 6.3
59.20.3
57.357.6
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Second
7657
#12
29.91.8
27.425.6
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
red by 2.9
27.00.3
24.825.1
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Third
8430
#24
18.21.8
20.418.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 2.5
9554
#11
20.70.3
20.420.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned