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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93602040801201401608447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+51Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
12Coral scored#5
43Coral points18
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
73Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
84Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.2
33.533.7
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
red by 10.3
23.10.9
23.522.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Second
9491
#17
25.80.2
22.923.1
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
red by 5.6
8116
#23
20.10.9
17.216.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Third
6498
#16
23.50.2
24.724.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
red by 9.1
8564
#26
14.30.9
19.518.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned