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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59940501504977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
31Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points6
49Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#22
23.90.8
25.424.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 8.5
5188
#18
32.40.8
29.929.1
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
Second
9790
#15
23.60.8
19.318.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 7.2
1018
#19
30.80.8
34.133.3
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Third
3559
#10
17.60.8
16.715.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 4.4
4008
#20
22.00.8
19.618.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed