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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310501503067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
14Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
30Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.7
22.620.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 10.3
33.31.6
33.732.0
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
Second
9554
#11
20.71.7
21.820.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 10.1
1018
#19
30.81.6
33.331.6
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Third
11.41.7
11.79.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 12.5
2197
#22
23.91.6
24.522.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed