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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711905010015025030074199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+123
Endgame+125
Fouls+125
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave0
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points51
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +88
8Coral scored#20
30Coral points72
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#9
6Processor points24
8Net points36
14Algae points60
44Total teleop132
Reef
3L4#15
3L3#6
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +125
0Foul points0
74Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.2
39.238.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
blue by 35.9
868
#1
78.91.3
69.070.3
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
Second
6498
#16
23.51.2
24.923.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 35.8
59.21.3
57.658.8
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Third
8564
#26
14.31.2
18.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 32.5
234
#7
46.91.3
44.946.2
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned