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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678040601001207063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
47Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points2
70Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#14
30.00.1
25.926.0
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
blue by 3.8
1720
#21
33.81.1
33.432.2
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Second
7657
#12
29.90.1
25.625.7
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
red by 4.2
9491
#17
25.81.1
23.121.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
Third
8116
#23
20.10.1
16.416.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
red by 1.9
8430
#24
18.21.1
18.617.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed