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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96153406080120140180200108134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+34
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points38
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
58Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
108Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
46.90.7
46.246.9
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
blue by 13.6
60.40.4
56.155.7
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
1720
#21
33.80.7
32.233.0
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 25.4
59.20.4
58.858.4
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Third
4008
#20
22.00.7
18.719.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
blue by 7.9
7657
#12
29.90.4
25.725.3
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned