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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15350010020025015961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+90Teleop
+98Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +69
22Coral scored#8
78Coral points29
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
102Total teleop33
Reef
10L4#3
8L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
0Foul points0
159Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.91.5
70.371.9
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 51.9
27.00.0
25.425.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Second
43.01.5
38.039.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
red by 25.4
3559
#10
17.60.0
15.815.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Third
9491
#17
25.81.5
21.923.5
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
red by 11.4
8564
#26
14.30.0
17.417.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned