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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111111105115120106124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points51
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
18Processor points24
24Net points24
42Algae points48
91Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
106Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.3
49.649.9
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
blue by 12.3
65.51.1
62.563.6
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
Second
1018
#19
30.80.3
31.631.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
red by 7.3
6498
#16
23.51.1
23.724.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Third
23.10.3
20.921.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 2.9
8116
#23
20.11.1
15.416.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed