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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938950607080100110120130103114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points23
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
68Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points6
103Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
46.90.9
46.947.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
red by 13.5
33.31.5
32.033.5
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
Second
9790
#15
23.60.9
20.321.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 8.8
5188
#18
32.41.5
28.029.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
Third
9554
#11
20.70.9
20.121.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
blue by 9.2
7657
#12
29.91.5
25.326.8
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed