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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310302040801201401602596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+55
Endgame+65
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +41
3Coral scored#9
9Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#4
0Processor points0
0Net points16
0Algae points16
9Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#2
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points6
25Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#22
23.92.1
22.920.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 36.6
60.40.1
55.755.6
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
8430
#24
18.22.1
16.414.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 3.8
4008
#20
22.00.1
19.519.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Third
8564
#26
14.32.1
17.415.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 3.3
3559
#10
17.60.1
15.815.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned