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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141456080100160180200151127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
8Coral scored#6
40Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points60
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
97Total teleop74
Reef
12L4#8
4L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
151Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.92.8
71.974.6
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 19.7
59.20.4
58.458.0
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Second
2867
#14
30.02.8
27.830.6
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
blue by 23.1
53.20.4
49.949.5
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Third
11.42.8
9.912.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 12.0
6498
#16
23.50.4
24.824.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned