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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110105608010012014010480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
64Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
104Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.2
63.663.8
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 18.7
234
#7
46.91.1
47.846.7
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
Second
23.10.2
21.221.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 10.3
33.31.1
33.532.4
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
Third
3559
#10
17.60.2
15.716.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
red by 3.3
8564
#26
14.31.1
15.314.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned