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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128105608012014016018099136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
69Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
99Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.21.4
58.056.6
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
blue by 1.2
60.42.2
55.657.8
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
1018
#19
30.81.4
31.930.4
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
red by 0.8
7657
#12
29.92.2
26.829.0
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Third
2867
#14
30.01.4
30.629.1
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
red by 6.1
2197
#22
23.92.2
20.823.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned