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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167665010015020025019475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+99Teleop
+119Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave3
11Coral scored#2
54Coral points12
54Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +60
21Coral scored#12
76Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
116Total teleop56
Reef
12L4#5
11L3#3
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#17
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +119
0Foul points0
194Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.92.6
74.677.2
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 51.9
27.00.6
26.626.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
Second
53.22.6
49.552.1
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
red by 27.4
9491
#17
25.80.6
25.424.8
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
Third
4008
#20
22.02.6
19.422.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
red by 1.3
9554
#11
20.70.6
21.020.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed