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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74810501001502002505297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#14
16Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
26Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
52Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#21
33.81.3
34.232.9
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 9.2
43.01.3
41.542.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Second
6498
#16
23.51.3
24.423.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 0.1
9790
#15
23.61.3
21.222.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Third
11.41.3
12.711.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 6.8
8430
#24
18.21.3
14.215.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned