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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1868050100150200250300174124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+56Teleop
+68Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points23
61Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +21
21Coral scored#14
77Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
99Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#7
12L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points18
174Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.90.2
77.277.4
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 45.1
1720
#21
33.80.4
32.933.3
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Second
65.50.2
63.864.0
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 35.6
7657
#12
29.90.4
29.029.4
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Third
23.10.2
21.421.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 2.7
9491
#17
25.80.4
24.825.2
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7