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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610350200141122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points17
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
76Total teleop62
Reef
13L4#7
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points18
141Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.2
58.558.7
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 13.6
234
#7
46.90.0
46.546.5
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
Second
59.20.2
57.257.4
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
red by 16.2
43.00.0
42.642.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Third
8430
#24
18.20.2
16.216.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 3.9
8564
#26
14.30.0
13.914.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4