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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11763050100150200102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
62Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points8
102Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.0
53.253.2
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
red by 20.8
5188
#18
32.41.1
31.232.4
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
Second
27.00.0
27.127.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
red by 6.9
8116
#23
20.11.1
19.020.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
Third
9790
#15
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 6.0
3559
#10
17.61.1
16.417.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8