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Red250
402881.9
1690107.6
2056112.5
Blue325
804486.0
86885.2
42293.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329275200250300350400250325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+75
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
13Coral scored#13
66Coral points63
72Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +5
24Coral scored#29
88Coral points103
5Processor algae#4
9Net algae#8
30Processor points24
36Net points32
66Algae points56
154Total teleop159
Reef
10L4#16
11L3#7
9L2#11
7L1 · trough#8
51Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points68
250Total score325

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.51.3
113.8112.5
Auto30.9
Teleop71.3
End10.3
red by 19.2
422
#9
93.30.2
93.393.1
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
Second
107.61.3
108.9107.6
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 21.6
8044
#21
86.00.2
86.085.8
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
Third
4028
#17
81.91.3
83.281.9
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
blue by 3.3
868
#29
85.20.2
85.285.0
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5