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Red321
402881.9
1690107.6
2056112.5
Blue274
804486.0
86885.2
42293.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325275200250300350400321274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave3
14Coral scored#14
72Coral points71
72Total auto74
TeleoperatedRed +31
44Coral scored#33
159Coral points120
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
12Processor points24
24Net points20
36Algae points44
195Total teleop164
Reef
20L4#15
19L3#13
10L2#11
9L1 · trough#8
66Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +47
18Foul points0
321Total score274

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.0
112.5112.5
Auto30.9
Teleop71.3
End10.3
red by 19.2
422
#9
93.30.2
93.193.3
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
Second
107.60.0
107.6107.6
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 21.6
8044
#21
86.00.2
85.886.0
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
Third
4028
#17
81.90.0
81.981.9
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
blue by 3.3
868
#29
85.20.2
85.085.2
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5