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Red191
282644.9
571266.2
341467.8
Blue181
42293.3
465573.3
349469.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18026050100150200300350400191181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+12
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave0
7Coral scored#10
36Coral points51
36Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#22
75Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
10Net algae#8
12Processor points12
40Net points32
52Algae points44
127Total teleop124
Reef
9L4#16
8L3#9
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
191Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#49
67.80.9
68.669.5
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
blue by 25.5
422
#9
93.33.9
95.791.9
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
Second
5712
#24
66.20.9
74.275.0
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
blue by 7.2
4655
#31
73.33.9
78.874.9
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
Third
2826
#10
44.90.9
33.134.0
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
blue by 24.5
3494
#48
69.43.9
64.660.8
Auto13.5
Teleop46.9
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsMissed