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Red224
366386.9
174159.0
449987.3
Blue225
745797.5
1002143.2
402881.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241241210220230250260270280224225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
30Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +14
36Coral scored#29
130Coral points104
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#9
12Processor points12
24Net points36
36Algae points48
166Total teleop152
Reef
16L4#14
10L3#13
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
224Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#13
87.30.3
79.879.5
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
blue by 10.2
7457
#19
97.50.2
97.196.8
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
Second
3663
#43
86.90.3
86.085.7
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
red by 5.0
4028
#17
81.90.2
82.081.8
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
Third
1741
#56
59.00.3
61.160.8
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 15.9
43.20.2
49.649.4
Auto6.5
Teleop33.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned