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Red161
198771.0
492652.5
183376.1
Blue210
108648.1
3376.6
248197.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202237100300400500161210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave9
12Coral scored#9
58Coral points44
58Total auto53
TeleoperatedBlue +44
17Coral scored#24
61Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
89Total teleop133
Reef
14L4#8
7L3#12
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
161Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1833
#22
76.12.6
73.971.3
Auto19.2
Teleop46.9
End10.0
blue by 21.7
97.81.2
101.5100.3
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
Second
1987
#44
71.02.6
72.569.9
Auto16.6
Teleop46.1
End8.3
blue by 5.6
33
#39
76.61.2
77.275.9
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2
Third
4926
#59
52.52.6
54.051.3
Auto15.1
Teleop30.9
End6.4
red by 4.3
1086
#57
48.11.2
49.648.4
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned