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Red247
335739.6
173276.5
924581.0
Blue194
30270.7
213781.2
102358.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042270100300400247194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
0Leave0
11Coral scored#5
57Coral points23
57Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
28Coral scored#26
102Coral points95
3Processor algae#4
11Net algae#9
18Processor points24
44Net points36
62Algae points60
164Total teleop155
Reef
15L4#11
12L3#9
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
53Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
247Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.02.9
78.281.1
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
blue by 0.2
2137
#36
81.21.5
77.576.1
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
Second
1732
#40
76.52.9
79.282.1
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
red by 5.8
302
#15
70.71.5
68.266.8
Auto19.3
Teleop44.7
End6.6
Third
3357
#55
39.62.9
34.237.2
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 19.3
1023
#26
58.91.5
59.157.7
Auto10.6
Teleop43.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned