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Red240
6778.9
4559.3
176887.8
Blue195
568778.8
46957.2
901553.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24719850100150300350400450240195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
11Coral scored#10
55Coral points48
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +16
31Coral scored#31
112Coral points110
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
144Total teleop128
Reef
11L4#15
14L3#13
7L2#8
10L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points0
240Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#11
87.80.7
80.280.9
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
red by 9.1
5687
#41
78.80.1
73.273.1
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
Second
67
#14
78.90.7
81.081.6
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
red by 21.7
469
#32
57.20.1
57.957.8
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
Third
45
#33
59.30.7
55.656.3
Auto10.3
Teleop38.8
End10.2
red by 5.4
9015
#50
53.80.1
54.454.3
Auto11.5
Teleop39.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned