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Red236
11243.9
366386.9
568778.8
Blue294
34185.8
449987.3
42293.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207273100150250300350236294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points51
51Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +47
32Coral scored#32
115Coral points116
3Processor algae#8
6Net algae#10
18Processor points48
24Net points40
42Algae points88
157Total teleop204
Reef
15L4#20
13L3#8
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#60
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
2Foul points0
236Total score294

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#43
86.92.0
85.787.7
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
blue by 6.4
422
#9
93.32.0
91.993.9
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
Second
5687
#41
78.82.0
73.175.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
blue by 8.6
4499
#13
87.32.0
79.581.5
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
Third
112
#53
43.92.0
33.335.3
Auto2.0
Teleop37.9
End4.0
blue by 41.9
341
#2
85.82.0
80.882.8
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned