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Red229
46957.2
102446.4
3376.6
Blue192
414365.8
335739.6
44957.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199197160180220240260229192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points27
51Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
26Coral scored#27
94Coral points98
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
134Total teleop134
Reef
10L4#10
12L3#11
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
18Foul points12
229Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#39
76.61.2
75.977.2
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2
red by 10.8
4143
#28
65.80.5
66.666.0
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
Second
469
#32
57.21.2
57.859.0
Auto16.5
Teleop36.2
End4.5
blue by 0.3
449
#58
57.50.5
73.272.7
Auto8.0
Teleop40.2
End9.2
Third
1024
#45
46.41.2
47.448.7
Auto8.3
Teleop32.3
End5.8
red by 6.8
3357
#55
39.60.5
37.236.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned