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Red202
6778.9
492652.5
335739.6
Blue242
402881.9
282644.9
449987.3
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175222100150200250300202242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +45
24Coral scored#30
86Coral points107
3Processor algae#7
7Net algae#7
18Processor points42
28Net points28
46Algae points70
132Total teleop177
Reef
11L4#14
11L3#11
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#7
42Game pieces#53
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
202Total score242

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#14
78.92.0
79.881.8
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
blue by 8.4
4499
#13
87.32.5
81.584.0
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
Second
4926
#59
52.52.0
49.951.9
Auto15.1
Teleop30.9
End6.4
blue by 29.5
4028
#17
81.92.5
81.784.2
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
Third
3357
#55
39.62.0
36.638.7
Auto12.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 5.3
2826
#10
44.92.5
35.838.3
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed