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Red97
44957.5
465573.3
1002143.2
Blue236
86885.2
901553.8
34185.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20323310015025030035097236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+117
Endgame+129
Fouls+139
AutonomousBlue +34
6Leave0
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points50
16Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +83
13Coral scored#33
45Coral points118
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
67Total teleop150
Reef
5L4#17
5L3#11
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#6
20Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +139
0Foul points10
97Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#31
73.36.6
74.868.3
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
blue by 12.5
341
#2
85.80.9
82.883.7
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
Second
449
#58DQ
57.56.6
72.766.1
Auto8.0
Teleop40.2
End9.2
blue by 27.7
868
#29
85.20.9
77.578.3
Auto21.7
Teleop52.0
End11.5
Third
43.26.6
47.941.4
Auto6.5
Teleop33.1
End3.6
blue by 10.7
9015
#50
53.80.9
52.953.7
Auto11.5
Teleop39.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned