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Red196
102446.4
571266.2
414569.0
Blue186
174159.0
12575.8
4559.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214210180190200220230240250196186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points55
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +19
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#5
12Processor points18
36Net points20
48Algae points38
143Total teleop124
Reef
9L4#11
8L3#9
6L2#9
9L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#43
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
196Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#34
69.00.7
71.971.2
Auto13.8
Teleop46.7
End8.5
blue by 6.8
125
#23
75.81.3
78.777.4
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
Second
5712
#24Sur
66.20.7
75.174.3
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
red by 6.9
45
#33
59.31.3
56.254.9
Auto10.3
Teleop38.8
End10.2
Third
1024
#45
46.40.7
48.748.0
Auto8.3
Teleop32.3
End5.8
blue by 12.7
1741
#56
59.01.3
59.358.0
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsMissed