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Red236
30270.7
414365.8
11187.3
Blue218
394079.0
176887.8
108648.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24022250100150200300350400450236218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +17
35Coral scored#29
125Coral points104
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
24Processor points24
24Net points28
48Algae points52
173Total teleop156
Reef
15L4#10
10L3#9
11L2#8
5L1 · trough#8
51Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
236Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#35Sur
87.30.5
84.384.8
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
blue by 0.5
1768
#11
87.80.1
82.682.5
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
Second
302
#15
70.70.5
66.667.1
Auto19.3
Teleop44.7
End6.6
blue by 8.3
3940
#42Sur
79.00.1
76.576.4
Auto15.8
Teleop53.8
End9.5
Third
4143
#28
65.80.5
66.066.5
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
red by 17.7
1086
#57
48.10.1
47.347.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned