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Red210
341467.8
804486.0
42293.3
Blue247
18081.8
459069.6
213781.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272233150200250300350400210247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+17
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
7Coral scored#12
37Coral points61
37Total auto61
TeleoperatedRed +7
28Coral scored#27
99Coral points96
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#9
18Processor points18
40Net points36
58Algae points54
157Total teleop150
Reef
16L4#12
7L3#10
7L2#11
5L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
210Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#9
93.33.8
93.990.1
Auto21.8
Teleop59.9
End11.6
red by 11.5
180
#18
81.80.5
88.188.7
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6
Second
8044
#21
86.03.8
92.588.7
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
red by 4.9
2137
#36
81.20.5
77.878.3
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
Third
3414
#49
67.83.8
69.565.7
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
blue by 1.8
4590
#12
69.60.5
62.262.7
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned