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Red225
283274.6
745797.5
23450.3
Blue265
248197.8
11897.0
102358.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226279150200250300350400225265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+50
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave0
12Coral scored#11
58Coral points56
58Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +52
28Coral scored#38
99Coral points135
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#10
18Processor points18
24Net points40
42Algae points58
141Total teleop193
Reef
11L4#12
11L3#17
11L2#9
7L1 · trough#11
49Game pieces#62
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
225Total score265

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#19
97.50.3
96.896.5
Auto24.3
Teleop61.7
End11.6
blue by 0.2
97.80.6
100.399.7
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
Second
2832
#46
74.60.3
71.871.5
Auto12.9
Teleop52.6
End9.0
blue by 22.5
118
#16
97.00.6
105.2104.6
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
Third
234
#47
50.30.3
49.549.2
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End9.4
blue by 8.6
1023
#26
58.90.6
57.757.0
Auto10.6
Teleop43.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned